Some of the Most Likely Disaster ScenariosIn a recent video, I talked about why my main concern is an economic collapse, and last week we did a podcast with 10 tips for new preppers. This led me to thinking about some of the most likely disaster scenarios we face, and the right way to prepare for these in the first place.

While all the following disaster scenarios are important, it’s important not to fall into the trap of preparing for one thing or the other. If you have ever seen the show Doomsday preppers you know exactly what I’m talking about. When they say “I’m preparing for an EMP” or “I’m preparing for nuclear war” what they are really saying is “I’m not prepared for…”

I posed this question to some of the members of the Survivalist Prepper Academy and one response really stood out because it really hit the nail on the head.

Sean wrote: “Prepping is less and less about being afraid and trying to plan for every eventuality but more about being able to take care of myself and then those I care about should something happen.”

As preppers we should not only be concerned about these major disaster scenarios, but we shouldn’t lose sight of the big picture.

In a recent interview with Franklin Horton he said ” I see it as getting back to the way our grandparents lived, when the safety and well-being of your family was something that you personally took care of. It’s not about living in fear, it’s about living with a sense of security.”

Has Prepping Changed?

While its important to have a well rounded approach to prepping, the problems we face today are different than those of preppers just 20 years ago. Some of the issues we face today are issues that seasoned preppers have been warning us about, and some of these threats are new to the scene and are getting harder to ignore.

When I say the face of prepping has changed, I’m not saying that preppers of the past were wrong, quite the opposite actually. The fundamentals of prepping remain the same, becoming as self reliant as possible and prepare for unforeseen circumstances.

The way I see it, the preppers of the past were right. They warned us about the economy and they warned us about nuclear war, which become bigger threats as each day goes by. The difference is that now there are new threats that didn’t exist in the past. Cyber security is a huge issue, advanced weapons (EMP) that could land on U.S. soil is an issue and even terrorists right in our own back yard has become a reality.

SPP178 Some of the Most Likely Disaster Scenarios


This week Lisa and I talked about some of the most likely disaster scenarios we face these days as preppers. Some of these are newer threats we face, and some are the same threats we have faced for a long time…but they are more likely than ever before.

A Grid Down Event

There are quite a few disaster scenarios that could cause a complete or partial grid down event. This could be from an EMP launched at us from a not so friendly country, CME launched at us from the sun, and even natural disasters on a more local scale.

As we talked about in a past show, there are not many societies that would survive without electricity these days. We are dependent on just about everything we do on electricity, and our power grid is a disaster waiting to happen.

Economic Collapse

Just 20 years ago our national debt was in the Billions, not Trillions. Between the Bush (Jr) years  and the Obama years we have gone from 18 Billion to 20 Trillion in national debt, and that isn’t even unfunded liabilities. If you want to see some scary numbers have a look here. These are pretty hard to wrap your head around.

Eventually this bubble is going to burst, and we need to do everything we can to get ready for it. Learning skills to become more self sufficient, having plenty of long term food storage and getting our finances in line is more important than ever these days.

Nuclear War

This is a major concern even to people who do not consider themselves “preppers”. If someone were to launch nukes it would most likely be a no win situation, although this might not always be the case. While I wouldn’t want to suffer a slow agonizing death from nuclear fallout, there will be situations where survival is feasible.

At the very least is good to know what your options are, know what to expect, and do what you can to prepare yourself for a nuclear strike. I don’t think a nuclear war would kill everyone on the planet, and if someone is going to survive, it might as well be me. Although most countries who have nukes seem to hate the Unites States, which makes things a bit tough.

Cyber Attacks

20 years ago we were still writing checks to pay the bills and were worried about check fraud. These days everything is done online and most people don’t even see a paper check. It wouldn’t take much for everything we have to be gone, and we wouldn’t even know about it.

On a larger scale there is critical infrastructure that could be taken out by a bad actor with a good hacker. This could rang from nuclear power plants to portions or our electrical grid. If someone were able to disrupt Wall Street, it could have huge ramifications for our economy.


We have made great strides here in the United States when it comes to disease and sickness in the last 100 years or so. Diseases like Smallpox and Cholera are almost non existent, but without the sanitation resources we have today, they could become prevalent once again.

Along with the natural causes of a pandemics is the possibility of man made biological weapons. This might seem a little unrealistic, and hard for someone to do successfully on a large scale, but it is a real possibility. You know someone, somewhere is trying to figure this out…and it could even be us.


In the 70’s and 80’s terrorism was hijacking airplanes. That all changed on September 11th 2001 when terrorists successfully attacked the U.S. on the largest scale ever. These days they take it a step further by poisoning minds and trying to infiltrate western society where ever possible.

So what’s the next step that terrorists could take? With everything becoming more dependent on the internet and technology, it seems likely that the next step is a cyber terrorism on a very large scale.

Civil Unrest

This would a secondary event that would be caused by a number of different initial events. We have all seen the riots and “protests” recently, and it wouldn’t take much for these to escalate. With the growing divide in this country, (which is mainly political, even though they would like you to think it’s racial) it’s only a matter of time before it all comes to a head.

We also need to consider civil unrest in a SHTF type scenario. When people are faced with a crisis they become both unpredictable, and very predictable at the same time. People will do whatever it takes to survive, even if it means stealing and killing to get it.

Natural Disasters

Throughout history natural disaster have always been a concern around the world. While there is nothing we can do to stop mother nature for wreaking havoc, there are things we can do to minimize the impact and survive.

At the very least this is basic preparedness, and an understanding of how to respond when a natural disaster strikes. Depending on where you live, there is probably 1 or 2 types of disasters that could affect your life.

Doomsdays at Home

When non preppers think about prepping they inevitably think about gas masks, camouflage and AR15’s. But the truth is that we focus just as much on making sure we are prepared for minor disasters as we are for major disasters…sometimes more.

Someone in the household losing their job could be a personal doomsday. Someone getting sick could be a personal doomsday. It’s our job to be ready for these situations and minimize the affects they have on us.

Also in the Show…

Tin Foil Hat Time: This week we talked about the new world order, and whether or not these globalists plans are falling apart. We also talked about the “fake news” and the Orwellian process of censoring the media. That segment is towared the end of the show.

The Christmas Contest: This months contest is a great one and will end on December 15, just in time for Christmas. If you haven’t entered yet you can do so here. There are also options to enter daily.


Survival and being prepared should not only be a passion, it should be a lifestyle. The definition of a prepper is "An individual or group that prepares or makes preparations in advance of, or prior to, any change in normal circumstances, without substantial resources from outside sources" Like the Government, police etc. I don't believe that the end of the world will be the "end of the world" I believe it will be the end of the world as we know it now. You can also find me on Google Plus and Twitter

    2 replies to "Some of the Most Likely Disaster Scenarios"

    • Sean

      Thanks for mentioning my comment on the podcast! Tells me I’m on the right track to preparedness. Keep up the great work

    • J Allen

      I often like to consider most likely scenarios myself. It seems there are a lot of extreme events out there that could happen but are less likely. Many people are not prepared for the most basic events, like a storm takes down power. Some of these events are ones that we have all faced and/or will face again. I’m glad to see a list like this. I”m a bit surprised to see Nuclear war on the list, though.

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